twice-refried news

The Increasing Frequency of Black Swans

Black Swans (Nassim Taleb) are extreme events that have system wide consequences (9/11, the Internet, financial collapse, etc.). These events typically occur infrequently enough to escape near/mid term analytical methods (as in, most of our analysis is over time horizons that don’t measure the occurrence or probability of these events).

Full Article




blog comments powered by Disqus
To Tumblr, Love Metalab